The Impact of Labor Market Trends on the Employment Rates Using Time Series Analysis by SPSS Program
Embareka F. Abouellil
Public Adminstration for Industrial Statistics, CAPMAS, Cairo, Egypt

Labor market indicators considered as quantitative or qualitative tools used to monitor changes or progress in the phenomenon belonging to the labor market system and may be linked to other systems, as they are used to summarize the state of the labor market, and to assess the efficiency of the system of the labor market, may be used to judge the efficiency of this systems with others such as a system of higher education, for example: You can use the unemployment rate index – partially judgment – to measure the performance of the labor market system, as high unemployment means that there are defects in the labor market system may be caused by failing in the education system.

The Egyptian Labor force survey is quarterly survey of approximately 21352 households. The survey has been designed to produce reliable national estimates of Egyptian civilian labor force and its various characteristics, the level of employment in different geographic areas of the republic, the wages, and labor hours. In addition it is the only source in Egypt estimates the unemployment rates. The purpose of this paper is to identify the impacts of the labor trends on the unemployment rates in Egypt through the period of 2004 until 2010, whereas this period enable us to identify the effects of the global financial crisis on the Egyptian labor market by putting an outline of the Egyptian labor situation after and before the global financial crisis using the time series analysis by SPSS (statistical package for social science) program.

Keywords: Labor market, Labor force participation, Unemployment, and Unemployment rates.

Biography: My experience combined with my educational background, Major statistic from faculty of Economic and political science Cairo University, provided me with solid foundation to establish a career as statistician at CAPMAS Egypt.

I had the opportunity to complete successfully a statistical course in South Korea and take the certificate from KSTI (Korean statistical training institute) march 2010.

I had an on job training at IDSC (Information and decision support center) – Cabinet June 2010 and I could share in developing Labor force survey and issuing a detailed report about labor force indicators to be the first report issued by CAPMAS.